Rants

Stay Smart?

Stay Smart?The adventure begins. After work today we went home and had a quick dinner of Kraft Macaroni & Cheese (as Rachel would say, “Yum-O”) and hit the road. I-20 to I-77 to Charlotte in about 3 hours with one pit stop for gas.

Gnorm says he sure hopes he wakes up a lot smarter for staying in this Holiday Inn Express (805 West Arrowood Rd., Charlotte, NC 28217) because right now it isn’t looking like a smart stay. First there was only a half used bottle of shampoo in the bathroom. A walk to the front desk brought a new shampoo and a new conditioner. Wireless connectivity was nearly flat lined, I hooked up, but could only surf at dial up speed. That explained the three people in the lobby area with laptops open as I passed through on my way to the ice machine. After Donna had showered and she peeled back the sheets hop in bed a little black bug hopped out, a flea. A call to the front desk brought the desk clerk to us with a couple of room keys for something on the third floor and a promise of 30% off the charge. It looked OK, so we moved our stuff. Second room has shampoo and conditioner and three out of four bars of wireless signal strength. When Donna got into bed here she only found three black specks in the sheets. They weren’t moving so we figured they were tiny meteorites, so she just brushed them to the floor.

Tomorrow morning it is up and a short drive to the airport. The guy at the front desk said it is about a ten minute drive and then asked what time were we leaving. When we told him 7:00 AM he went uh-oh. Seems traffic is stop and go around here in the mornings because we are close to both I-77 and I-485, he said better leave earlier, about 6. When asked when breakfast starts, his answer was, “6:30 AM.” Whatever the consequences, I’m getting a cinnamon bun for breakfast, so I guess we leave at seven and take an hour to drive what should take 10 minutes.

Started up, went down, back up, down again, up again, still up.
Miata Top Transitions since 01/01/07: 175

Part Two – CO2 & Global Warming

Here is the second excerpt from an article by Jack Frampton called Science, Religion, Passion, Cohorts, and the Much-Heralded Doom of Planet Earth from the current (#21 June) issue of Winding Road and online auto mag. If you would like to read the whole thing all you have to do is “subscribe” by giving them your email address and downloading the 17Meg PDF file.

It has been observed that there is a direct correlation between higher levels of CO2 in the air beginning with the Industrial Revolution some 300 years ago and certain acceleration in Global Warming.

This ?discovery? begat the ?greenhouse effect? theory, which begat the whole Global Warming controversy.

Without asking just how reliable the Earth?s temperature gathering was 300 years ago, if one simply accepts that the one happened due to the other, again there is no scientific way to prove the theory.

It is clear that the Earth has gone through a series of warming and cooling cycles, from the heat and humidity of the dinosaur age to the Ice Age in a geological blink of an eye.

And though there are many theories about why one or the other happened, from volcanoes to smashing asteroids, nobody really knows.

In a court of law, the coincidence of warming and the Industrial Revolution?s CO2 would be termed circumstantial and perhaps inadmissible.

We read that there has been much concern in the Alps recently because they have had the warmest winter ?in 1300 years.? This is presented to us as more proof that the world is warming. It could prove instead that we?ve had a 1300-year cold snap. And if the Alps were really warmer 1300 years ago, a whole millennium before the Industrial Revolution and its CO2, what was the culprit then? Goat farts?

Another perfectly logical explanation for the Earth?s temperature fluctuations is solar activity, fluctuations in the energy radiated to Earth, which have warmed and cooled the planet.

Of course, CO2 aficionados poohpooh this suggestion as a theory with no scientific evidence. But, guys and gals, as we have demonstrated, you have no scientific evidence on your side either. Its either declare a draw, or its pistols at dawn.

So, class, let?s review. There are scientists and there is science. They are different.

Scientists are free to use any technology they want, but unless they can reproduce an outcome using the scientific method, it?s not science.

The Earth may or may not be warming long-term, but the Earth has seen this movie before.

And the sun, not CO2, may or may not be the largest influence on Earth?s climate, but nobody really knows.

Part One – Scientists & Global Warming

This is an excerpt from an article by Jack Frampton called Science, Religion, Passion, Cohorts, and the Much-Heralded Doom of Planet Earth from the current (#21 June) issue of Winding Road and online auto mag. Tomorrow I’ll publish Part Two. If you would like to read the whole thing all you have to do is “subscribe” by giving them your email address and downloading the 17Meg PDF file.

Science is a process by which people seek to discover and describe a truth in the physical realm. It?s called the scientific method.

Scientists are a bunch of people specializing in various kinds of exploration using the scientific method to search for physical truths.

The problem here is that when it comes to the environment, the scientific method cannot be used.

The scientific method says that to declare something ?true,? one must create an experiment that replicates theoretical results, like proving E=mc2 by blowing up two perfectly good Japanese cities. Usually there is a control part of the experiment, which does not include a key ingredient of the theory. In the pharmaceutical business, when a drug is tested on one group of people, a similar group of people (the control group) is given a placebo (a sugar pill) to test the difference between getting the drug and not getting the drug. Or in the previous example, dropping a giant goose down pillow on two other perfectly good Japanese cities.

So to ?prove? the notion that A) the world is warming and B) CO2 is the culprit, one would have to take the Earth with its CO2 levels, create an Earth II with capped CO2 levels, let the two Earths spin in space together for a couple hundred years, and then compare the results.

If Earth II showed no temperature increase, and Earth I did, voil??CO2 would be the culprit. If Earth II showed the same temperature increase as Earth I, it would be back to the drawing board.

To date, we know of no Earth II being built. So the scientific method is off the table.

What is being used in our quest for the truth about Global Warming and CO2? Well, for the most part, computer models. And let us state here as clearly as possible that it may be scientists using computer models, but computer models are not science. They are a technological tool.

And while computer models are important technological tools, they are far from infallible. They require a whole list of assumptions that make them unreliable, especially when applied to something as complex as weather. All you have to do is watch the weather report on TV, and you will witness forecasters using three or four different computer models, each showing a different prediction, and then splitting the difference in their forecast. And this is for what?s going to happen tomorrow.

These same sorts of computer models promised us a disastrous 2006 hurricane season. Didn?t happen.

So for these scientists to use their computer models to tell us what will happen in thirty-five or fifty years is, if not mendacious, highly suspect. Remember, thirty years ago Time Magazine reported that scientists (probably the fathers of the current batch) were predicting a new Ice Age, and we were all going to die.

Once a scientist steps away from the cover of the scientific method and its demonstrable physical facts, he is just as liable to be as full of baloney as the guy who bends pipe down at Muffler King.

That Hurts

OK, so I’ve had a sore big toe for about a week now, feels like an ingrown toenail, meaning it is just fine unles I hit on something. I can deal with it. But this morning I noticed it right off as it hurt to even walk. Just the act of pushing off with the toe made me wince.

Now the ingrown toenails I’ve dealt with before have all been at the very end of the toe. This pain is coming from the side of the nail about halfway down it’s length. If you wanted to make this grown man squeal in pain, all you have to do is squeeze the side of my toe. Today’s planned hike in the woods was called off and we stayed home while I tried to minimize my walking.

We did manage to get to out to the MMC Breakfast Meet. It was in downtown Aiken, so we didn’t have far to go. Veggie Omelet with Grits for Donna and Hot Cakes with Sausage for me. Donna had water and I had an OJ.

Meal Cost: $10.92
Tip: $2
Spent Today: $12.92
Year to Date: $1,047.09

I want to keep the Flickr! South Carolina Post Office Photos separate, mainly because the map is filling in and looking cool, so I created a second account for other pictures. First up were the ones from last night’s sunset trip. Here is my favorite shot: Gnorm & John

Started down, went up, still up.
Miata Top Transitions since 01/01/07: 157

Monday Wrap

I should have saved my Sunday Addendum for tonight’s post.

Yesterday I was all hyped up about Neflix’s Instant Watch deal, today not so much. There is a limited amount of movies available this way and you can forget about any new releases. Turns out it is more like subscribing to a second tier “premium” cable channel, but you get to pick what and when to watch not them. Here is a random row of four movies from the Action & Adventure category:
1) Flight of the Phoenix – 1965, starring Jimmy Stewart
2) Jesus Christ Vampire Hunter – 2001, starring who knows
3) Any Which Way You Can – 1980, starring Clint Eastwood
4) Daylight – 1996, starring Sylvester Stallone

Row three of the CD collection has been burned finishing up with Green Day. Next Row starts with Griffith, Nanci. So far, 292 folders containing 2,122 occupying 7.89 Gigabytes of hard drive space.

Started up, went down, still down.
Miata Top Transitions since 01/01/07: 148

Save Internet Radio

Time is running out for US based independent web radio streams. From the savenetradio.org website:

On March 2, 2007 the Copyright Royalty Board (CRB), which oversees sound recording royalties paid by Internet radio services, increased Internet radio’s royalty burden between 300 and 1200 percent and thereby jeopardized the industry?s future.

At the request of the Recording Industry Association of America, the CRB ignored the fact that Internet radio royalties were already double what satellite radio pays, and multiplied the royalties even further. The 2005 royalty rate was 7/100 of a penny per song streamed; the 2010 rate will be 19/100 of a penny per song streamed. And for small webcasters that were able to calculate royalties as a percentage of revenue in 2005 ? that option was quashed by the CRB, so small webcasters? royalties will grow exponentially!

These exorbitant rates go into effect on May 15 (retroactive to Jan 1, 2006!). Without Congressional action the majority of webcasters will go bankrupt and silent on this date. We need your help. Please take a moment to send a letter to your member of Congress to keep Net radio from being silenced.

Go to the Act Now! page on the Savenetradio.org and fill out the form to email your legislators and ask them to stop this huge rate increase on webcasters. Don’t know who your representatives are? Neither did I, but by filling out your address information you will get their names and a mugshot so you can recognize them on the street or CSPAN.

Started down, went up, back down, still down.
Miata Top Transitions since 01/01/07: 122

Good Morning Sunshine

SunriseThis is the sun coming up over Manhattan as seen from the 8th floor of the Newark Airport Marriot was pretty much the bright spot of the day (if you don’t count the fact that the guest laundry is free.)

The church service for Donna’s Aunt Mary was today, but the interment had to be canceled. Cousin Laurie (the one in SC that we visit) was bringing the ashes, but her husband had some medical issues and had to be rushed to the hospital in Harrisburg, PA. The repast still went on, just with two empty chairs.

I would love to write some more, but this internet connection keeps dropping and it is very frustrating. The only way to restart it is to crawl under the desk and “reboot” the modem/router by unplugging it, counting backwards from 100 by sixteens and replugging it back in.